Muslim Threat Index...a new way to look at it.

Source: PlancksConstant

Muslim Threat Index

By Bernie on 02 Sep 2009:

For the average infidel in the western world it is extremely difficult to determine which of the 48 Muslim Majority countries in the world represents the greatest danger to civilization. Afghanistan has the Taliban, Lebanon has Hezbollah, Egypt has Al-Gama'a al-Islamiyya, Algeria has the 'the al-Qaeda Organization of the Islamic Maghreb,' Iran is looking to get nuclear weapons, Pakistan already has the bomb, which countries should we be worried about?

As a public service I have devised Planck's Islamic Threat Equation, a Muslim threat index to help government security agencies, NGOs, and others to quantify the danger of various Muslim majority countries and the likelihood that those countries may directly or indirectly support an attack against America or Europe. Also one should consider Islamic regimes that make their populace so miserable that they force huge numbers of Muslims to emigrate (which is a direct threat to the host countries) or make them so angry they turn to terrorism.

Here is the formula: MTI (Muslim Threat Index) = [ (100 * Atp * At)/M + (Pp*GDp) + MSp + MPp + SRp] * NC

where Atp is Active Troop points;
At is Number of troops;
M is the number of Muslims in the country

Atp	At=Number of active Troops
0	0-9,999
1	10,000-99,999
2	100,000-249,999
4	250,000-499,999
8	500,000+

Pp is Population Points (too small and too big a population are both most dangerous)

Pp	Population
1	5-49.9 million
2	50-99.9 million
4	0-4.9 million
8	100+million

MSp Is Main Sect Points (Where neither Sunni nor Shia predominate the more likely for sectarian instability)

MSp	Main-Sect
0	Sunni
4	Shia
8	Sunni/Shia

MPp is Muslim Percentage Points (the greater the percentage the greater the intolerance of other religions)

MPp	Muslim-Percentage
0	50%-59.99%
1	60%-89.99%
2	90%-97.99%
4	98%-99.7%
8	99.8%-100%

SRp is State Religion Points

State Religion means Islam the official religion where Sharia courts may be used
Secular: Officially neutral in matters of religion, neither supporting nor opposing any particular religion
None means that the country's status has not yet been declared - until resolved more dangerous than Secular
state
Islamic State means Strict Shariah Law

SRp	Religion&State
0	Secular
2	StateReligion
4	None
8	IslamicState

GDp is Gross Domestic Product per capita points

GDp	GDP-US$
0	20,000+
1	12,000-19,999
2	5,000-11,999
4	2,500-4,999
8	0-2,499

Pp*GDp is population points times (Gross Domestic Product per capita points)

One will notice that a very high GDP will drive high population numbers to 0 on the principle that the higher the GDP the less likely the populace is to engage in terrorism.

NC= Nuclear Capability

NC=1 no nukes
NC=2 Acquiring Nuclear Capability (Iran)
NC=4 Has Nukes (Pakistan)

Here are the results with the most dangerous countries at the top with the highest threat index.

Country	Pop (mil)	% Muslim	Main Sect	Govt Type	Active Troops	GDP Per Capita US$	Threat Level
Pakistan	172.8	97.0	Sunni	Islamic state	528,000	2,592	180
Nigeria	146.2	50.0	Sunni	None	78,500	2,035	68
Bangladesh	162.2	89.0	Sunni	State Religion	120,000	1,378	67
Iran	70.5	98.0	Shi'a	Islamic state	545,000	10,624	52
Mauritania	3.1	100.0	Sunni	Islamic state	15,750	2,008	49
Indonesia	228.5	86.1	Sunni	None	316,000	3,725	38
Comoros	0.8	98.0	Sunni	State religion	0	1,125	38
Kosovo	2.1	90.0	Sunni	Secular	0	1,800	34
The Gambia	1.7	90.0	Sunni	Secular	800	1,326	34
Djibouti	0.5	94.0	Sunni	Secular	9,850	2,271	34
Maldives	0.3	99.8	Sunni	State religion	1,000	4,604	26
Eritrea	5.0	60.0	Sunni	None	202,000	773	26
Lebanon	4.2	60.0	Sunni/Shi'	None	72,100	11,270	24
Palestine	4.1	95.0	Sunni	None	0	2,900	22
Yemen	23.0	99.0	Sunni/Shi'	Islamic state	65,000	2,335	20
Somalia	9.5	99.9	Sunni	State religion	10,000	600	18
Saudi Arabia	27.6	100.0	Sunni	Islamic state	199,500	23,243	17
Turkey	71.5	99.8	Sunni	Secular	514,850	12,888	16
Syria	19.4	90.0	Sunni	None	296,000	4,448	13
Sierra Leone	6.2	60.0	Sunni	None	13,000	692	13
Afghanistan	32.7	99.0	Sunni	Islamic state	70,000	724	12
Iraq	28.2	97.0	Shi'a	State religion	254,418	3,600	12
Egypt	77.1	90.0	Sunni	State religion	450,000	5,491	11
Niger	13.2	90.0	Sunni	Secular	5,300	666	10
Mali	12.0	90.0	Sunni	Secular	7,350	1,031	10
Senegal	11.6	94.0	Sunni	Secular	9,400	1,685	10
Tajikistan	7.2	97.0	Sunni	Secular	6,000	1,841	10
Jordan	5.5	95.0	Sunni	state religion	100,700	4,886	10
Guinea	10.2	85.0	Sunni	Secular	9,700	1,074	9
Azerbaijan	8.6	93.4	Shi'a	Secular	95,000	7,656	9
Kyrgyzstan	5.3	75.0	Sunni	Secular	12,500	-	9
Chad	5.0	54.0	Sunni	Secular	30,350	1,675	9
Bahrain	1.0	81.0	Shi'a	State religion	11,200	32,604	8
Burkina Faso	13.2	50.0	Sunni	Secular	6,000	1,253	8
Tunisia	10.3	98.0	Sunni	State religion	35,000	7,473	8
Morocco	33.7	99.0	Sunni	State religion	196,300	4,076	7
Algeria	33.7	99.0	Sunni	State religion	127,500	6,538	7
Sudan	39.3	70.0	Sunni	None	104,500	2,172	6
Oman	2.5	93.0	Ibadi	State religion	41,700	23,967	6
Libya	6.1	97.0	Sunni	State religion	76,000	12,277	6
Qatar	0.7	77.5	Sunni	State religion	12,400	80,870	5
Kuwait	3.4	85.0	Sunni	State religion	15,500	39,305	4
Malaysia	27.7	60.4	Sunni	State religion	110,000	13,315	4
United Arab Emirates	5.4	76.0	Sunni	State religion	50,500	37,293	4
Turkmenistan	5.1	89.0	Sunni	Secular	26,000	5,154	4
Brunei	0.3	67.0	Sunni	State religion	7,000	51,005	3
Uzbekistan	27.3	88.0	Sunni	Secular	53,000	2,344	1
Kazakhstan	15.2	57.0	Sunni	Secular	65,800	11,086	1

I would like to point out that any Islamic country with a threat index of zero is not threat to anyone.

For more of my articles like this see Islam

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